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(June 20)Prediction Models and Their Characterization: A Perspective of Granular Computing

Time: Jun 15, 2016

时间 地点
人物

Title:

Prediction  Models and Their Characterization: A Perspective of Granular Computing

Lecturer:

Prof.  Witold Pedrycz

Time:

15:00, June 20, 2016

Venue:

1012,New Science & Technology Building, North Campus

Lecturer  Profile

Witold  Pedrycz is Professor and Canada Research Chair (CRC) in Computational  Intelligence in the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering,  University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada. He is also with the Systems Research  Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland. He also holds an  appointment of special professorship in the School of Computer Science,  University of Nottingham, UK. In 2009, Dr. Pedrycz was elected a foreign member  of the Polish Academy of Sciences. In 2012 he was elected a Fellow of the Royal  Society of Canada. Witold Pedrycz has been a member of numerous program  committees of IEEE conferences in the area of fuzzy sets and neurocomputing. He  has received several awards such as Killam Prize in 2013. His main research directions  involve Computational Intelligence, fuzzy modeling and Granular Computing,  knowledge discovery and data mining, fuzzy control, pattern recognition,  knowledge-based neural networks, relational computing, and Software  Engineering. He has published numerous papers in this area. He is also an  author of 15 research monographs covering various aspects of Computational  Intelligence, data mining, and Software Engineering.Dr. Pedrycz is intensively  involved in editorial activities. He is an Editor-in-Chief and Co-Editor-in  Chief of several international journals or conferences.

Lecture  Abstract

Prediction models and  their efficient evaluation arise as an important and timely direction of  fundamental and applied research. However, there are no ideal models. It is  impossible to envision a situation where any model can deliver an ideal fit to  experimental data and needless to say that the quality of any model is of  paramount importance to any application. To offer a sound and realistic  evaluation of the quality of constructed models, it is legitimate and  intuitively appealing to admit that the prediction results come in a certain  non-numeric way.

 The talk focus on the  concepts of predictive models with prediction results being realized in the  form of information granules. It introduces a comprehensive algorithmic setting  as well as a detailed quantification of quality of information granules.  Besides, some well-known constructs of statistically-guided prediction in  linear regression are briefly reviewed. The generic idea of prediction  intervals is generalized to embrace information granules of prediction  including constructs. The talk also introduces a concept of a granular  parameter space and a granular output space yielding a granular nature of  prediction.

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